Here at BillsNerd.blog, we didn’t start being nerdy for the sake of a blog.
We were Nerdy for a long time before that. The blog is just a way to let that nerdiness out.
When we were young, we’d ask all the family members to pick the games and run a wins and losses pool, not for prizes, but for the glory.
In middle age, we’ve taken that to the next level, starting a contest between the brothers in the family to predict the draft, along with elaborate rules and scoring systems.
Now we want to invite you to join us.
The Contest
We’re picking two things. The draft picks in the first round (players at which pick, not necessarily to which team) and the order of the positions the Bills draft (1st pick-QB, 2nd pick-P). This makes trading just fine, as it’s not about the individual pick itself, just the order of the positions.
Scoring
The maximum points you can get per 1st round pick is 10. Points are awarded by the net difference in your prediction and the actual pick the player was selected in.
For example:
Let’s say you predict Jaxon Dart will be selected 15th, and he gets picked 15th, you would get 10 points.
If instead he gets picked 6th, you would get 1 point (9 selections away, -1 point for each selection away).
If he were to be selected 24th, you would also only get 1 point (9 selections away just in the other direction, -1 point for each selection away).
A Bonus 10 points will be awarded for each pick you select the correct position the Bills select.
Prizes
There are no prizes, unless someone wants to donate one.
But I don’t have any idea how to regulate that.
I’m a blogger, Jim, not a Contest Director.
How to Enter
Winners!
- billsbanter – 199 pts
- I❤️Bills – 169 pts
- Mcas0509 – 155 pts
Congratulations to the top three and thank you for playing! It was a great weekend!
Who Got It Right? Breaking Down the Top Fan Draft Predictions
The 2025 NFL Draft is in the books, and before the first pick was even made, fans across the community threw their hats in the ring for bragging rights in our Draft Prediction Challenge. From predicting the #1 overall pick to guessing what positions the Bills would target, here’s a breakdown of the top picks, the most accurate predictors, and some surprises.
🎯 Top 10 Predicted Picks (Most Common Fan Predictions)
| Pick | Most Common Prediction | Most Selected Player |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | QB | Cam Ward |
| 2 | CB/WR | Travis Hunter |
| 3 | EDGE | Abdul Carter |
| 4 | OT | Will Campbell |
| 5 | DT | Mason Graham |
| 6 | RB | Ashton Jeanty |
| 7 | OT | Armand Membou |
| 8 | LB | Jalon Walker |
| 9 | CB | Will Johnson |
| 10 | WR | Tetairoa McMillan |
These picks were the consensus favorites — and many fans nailed them exactly.
🏆 Featured Contest Entries
🔹 billsbanter
Full Entry:
1. Cam Ward, 2. Travis Hunter, 3. Abdul Carter, 4. Will Campbell, 5. Mason Graham, 6. Ashton Jeanty, 7. Tyler Warren, 8. Kelvin Banks Jr., 9. Josh Simmons, 10. Mykel Williams, 11. Walter Nolen, 12. Tetairoa McMillan, 13. Will Johnson, 14. Colston Loveland, 15. Jalon Walker, 16. Armand Membou, 17. Mike Green, 18. Grey Zabel, 19. Jahdae Barron, 20. Omarion Hampton, 21. Nick Emmanwori, 22. Matthew Golden, 23. James Pearce, 24. Tyler Booker, 25. Josh Conerly Jr., 26. Jaxson Dart, 27. Derrick Harmon, 28. James Pearce, 29. Emeka Egbuka, 30. Kenneth Grant, 31. Donovan Ezeiruaku, 32. Trey Amos.
Bills Picks by Position:
- DT | 2. CB | 3. WR | 4. DT | 5. OG | 6. DE | 7. CB | 8. DE | 9. LB | 10. S
Takeaway: Took a creative approach with TE Tyler Warren in the top 10, and a heavy focus on defense in the Bills draft predictions.
🔹 I❤️Bills
Full Entry:
1. Cam Ward, 2. Travis Hunter, 3. Abdul Carter, 4. Armand Membou, 5. Jalon Walker, 6. Ashton Jeanty, 7. Will Campbell, 8. Mason Graham, 9. Shedeur Sanders, 10. Tyler Warren, 11. Walter Nolen, 12. Tetairoa McMillan, 13. Will Johnson, 14. Colston Loveland, 15. Shemar Stewart, 16. Jihaad Campbell, 17. Jahdae Barron, 18. Matthew Golden, 19. Mykel Williams, 20. Omarion Hampton, 21. Kelvin Banks Jr., 22. Shemar Stewart, 23. Derrick Harmon, 24. James Pearce, 25. Donovan Ezeiruaku, 26. Grey Zabel, 27. Malaki Starks, 28. Trey Amos, 29. Luther Burden III, 30. Kenneth Grant, 31. TreVeyon Henderson, 32. Emeka Egbuka.
Bills Picks by Position:
- DT | 2. CB | 3. CB | 4. S | 5. WR | 6. LB | 7. RB | 8. RB | 9. WR | 10. OT
Takeaway: The only fan to put Shedeur Sanders in the top 10 — bold pick! Balanced offense/defense prediction for the Bills.
🔹 Mcas0509 (Reddit)
Full Entry: 1. Cam Ward, 2. Travis Hunter, 3. Abdul Carter, 4. Will Campbell, 5. Mason Graham, 6. Ashton Jeanty, 7. Armand Membou, 8. Jalon Walker, 9. Will Johnson, 10. Kelvin Banks Jr., 11. Tetairoa McMillan, 12. Shedeur Sanders, 13. Derrick Harmon, 14. Tyler Warren, 15. Mike Green, 16. Shemar Stewart, 17. Malaki Starks, 18. Matthew Golden, 19. Jahdae Barron, 20. Colston Loveland, 21. Jaxson Dart, 22. Mykel Williams, 23. James Pearce, 24. Nick Emmanwori, 25. Josh Simmons, 26. Jihaad Campbell, 27. Tyler Booker, 28. Donovan Ezeiruaku, 29. Luther Burden III, 30. Kenneth Grant, 31. Walter Nolen, 32. Grey Zabel.
Bills Picks by Position:
- DT | 2. CB | 3. DE | 4. S | 5. WR | 6. RB | 7. OG | 8. DT | 9. LB | 10. WR
Takeaway: A strong showing in the top 10 — nailed 6 picks exactly and showed a deep understanding of the Bills’ positional needs.
🔍 Observations & Trends
- Cam Ward was the unanimous pick for 1st overall — fans got this one right.
- Many entries focused heavily on the Bills’ D-line and secondary, accurately reading Brandon Beane’s draft patterns.
- Several fans projected double dips at WR, RB, or DT — indicating awareness of positional depth concerns.
📣 Think You Can Do Better?
Be sure to join us next offseason for the 2026 Draft Prediction Challenge! Until then, stay locked in for rookie mini-camp breakdowns, UDFAs to watch, and full roster battles leading into training camp.